MLB is back, and every day throughout the MLB season, we'll update this article to reveal the most exploitable MLB player prop picks.
Scroll down to see our favorite prop picks for today, including home runs, RBI, total bases and strikeouts!
MLB is back, and every day throughout the MLB season, we'll update this article to reveal the most exploitable MLB player prop picks.
Scroll down to see our favorite prop picks for today, including home runs, RBI, total bases and strikeouts!
Check out our favorite hitting props today. Find out our best bet to hit a home run, who has a chance to get some RBIs, and who will collect the most total bases.
Want to know the best bets to hit a home run today? Check out our favorite home run prop picks for today.
Red Sox' Rafael Devers Over 0.5 HR vs. Giants (+475, DraftKings)
A lot of books aren't even listing Red Sox player props right now because a starter hasn't been confirmed for the Giants, so they don't want to expose themselves too much. If you look at the moves that San Francisco has made, I have a hunch that we are going to see RHP Daulton Jefferies on the mound tonight for them. He was just called up from AAA, and I guess that he gets this start. Now, make sure that is the case before you bet this, but I think it's worth a sprinkle at +475 for Devers to go deep against Jefferies.
For starters, there was a reason that Jefferies was in AAA instead of in the majors, and that is because he just isn't good. He's had one start this season, and in that start, he allowed five earned runs in just two innings against San Diego. While his 3.81 xERA isn't bad, his massive 5.68 xFIP shows that he just is not a good arm.
Devers has started to heat up lately at the plate, and has had at least one hit in six straight games. However, he still only has three home runs, but I expect that number to start rising soon. This is a guy who hit 33 of them last season, and he will have a great matchup here at home against Jefferies. At +475, I think that is worth a sprinkle.
Need some RBI props for today's games? We have you covered, check out our favorite RBI prop bets.
Braves' Marcell Ozuna Over 0.5 RBI at Mariners (+136, Caesars)
Seattle has a chance to sweep the Braves in this series, but I don't think that they are going to go down without a fight. They have faced some really good Mariners starting pitchers, but now it looks like they will be starting RHP Emerson Hancock on the mound this afternoon. I would like to back the Atlanta offense against him today, and one of my favorite plays is for Ozuna to get an RBI.
Hancock has struggled in the early going for Seattle, allowing 15 earned runs in 26.2 innings of work. He's allowed five home runs in five starts, and the Braves are always a dangerous lineup to go deep. He owns a massive 5.36 xERA on the season, to go along with a 4.33 xFIP. Neither of those numbers is impressive, and he grades out as a below-average arm that can be hit hard.
Ozuna has been lighting up scoreboards this season, batting .327 with nine home runs, and he leads all of baseball with 31 RBI so far in 2024. He usually bats fifth in the lineup, but with Matt Olson struggling in the fourth spot, he's the one who has reaped the benefits of cleaning up the bases.
I think this price of +136 is generous for him to get an RBI against Hancock and the Mariners.
Check out our Total Bases prop bets for today, find out who we think will get on base with their bat today
Braves' Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 TB at Mariners (+105, DraftKings)
I can't believe we are getting plus money here for Acuna to get 2+ total bases. Yes, he has struggled this season so far with just a single home run, and he is batting only .245. However, we know that he is one of the best hitters in the game, and I do not expect this to continue. His struggles have gotten to the point where we are actually getting a +105 price tag on this, and I'll gladly back him at this number.
As I already mentioned, the Braves are taking on Hancock today, and we know about how he has struggled so far this season. Acuna has not shown much power to this point and hasn't had an extra-base hit since April 23 against the Marlins. That is insane to me, and he is due for some positive regression. He owns an xBA of .261 and even that is low to me.
I just think it has gotten to the point where the price for him to get 2+ TB is very good, especially with the pitcher that he will be facing.
We are on different types of MLB player prop bets every day during the season, so in this pitching prop section you may find strikeout prop bets, earned runs allowed prop bets, total outs recorded bets and more as the season progresses and we gather more data on these pitchers. If it is an MLB prop bet about the big man on the hill you will find it here!
Find the best strikeout props for today's games. Check out our favorite strikeout predictions
Padres RHP Joe Musgrove Over 6.5 Strikeouts vs. Reds (+122, FanDuel)
We go 1-1 on strikeout props again yesterday, and of course, it was the over on Yu Darvish in this same matchup that lost for us. His line was 5.5 and he only managed three strikeouts against one of the most strikeout-prone lineups in the league. Well, we are going back to the well today with Musgrove on the hill.
He's been awful so far, there is no denying that, with a massive 7.36 xERA and 4.98 xFIP, but he does get a really good matchup with this Cincinnati offense. They have been awful against right-handed pitching, owning an 84 wRC+ and batting just .217 as a lineup. Plus, they are striking out at the second-highest rate in the league against RHPs, getting rung up on 28.1% of their at-bats. This is a high number to cross, but at +122, I think it is worth a bit of a sprinkle.
Cubs LHP Shota Imanaga Under 4.5 Strikeouts at Mets (+130, FanDuel)
We cashed in this spot yesterday with Carlos Carrasco going under 3.5 Ks against a Houston offense that doesn't strike out much. We're going to back another offense that doesn't strike out a lot in the Mets against a lefty on the mound, even if that lefty is very good.
Imanaga has been brilliant this season, but there is almost no way he can continue to have the 0.80 ERA that he currently owns. He has an xERA of 3.00 and a 3.29 xFIP, so while he is due for some regression, he still is a very good arm.
New York has been good against left-handed pitching, owning a 115 wRC+ as a lineup against them, as well as the league's lowest strikeout rate vs. LHPs. They are only striking out on 15.3% of their at-bats, so Imanaga is going to have to work hard if he wants to punch out a ton of people tonight.
Our team of MLB experts works tirelessly to identify the most advantageous MLB player prop bets every single day. We don't just throw out generic player prop predictions – we delve deep into matchups, player trends, and ballpark factors to pinpoint who is the best bet to hit a home run, which sluggers will rack up RBIs, and which dominant arms will rack up strikeouts. With BetQL's player prop insights, you'll have the edge you need to make informed decisions and potentially crush your MLB wagers.
Make sure to check back daily for MLB prop bets and start making better bets with BetQL.
MLB player props add an exciting layer to baseball betting by letting you wager on individual player performance, not just the game's outcome. Imagine you think a hitter is due for a big night – you can bet on whether they'll have more than a certain number of hits, RBIs (Runs Batted In), or even home runs. Pitchers get in on the action too, with props on strikeouts, walks, or innings pitched. These bets are typically presented in an "Over/Under" format, so you wager on whether the player's stat will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the number set by the sportsbook.
Example: You log on to DraftKings Sportsbook and go to an MLB game between the Cubs and White Sox. Scrolling to the player props tab, you'll see all kinds of props for you to bet on in the game. You consult this page and find that you really like a best bet on Luis Robert to get 2+ hits at -110 odds. If Robert is able to get two hits in the game of any kind, you win the bet!
You can place these bets at any sportsbook of your choosing, but we recommend using whatever book gives you the best number. If one book is offering -120, while the other is offering -110 and you want to bet it, always take the -110.
Indeed, we are going to crush MLB again this year, so subscribe today and let's send the books into panic mode.
MLB player props, short for "proposition bets," are wagers in baseball that focus on the performance of individual players, separate from the final outcome of the game. Instead of betting on which team wins, you can predict a player's statistical output in various categories.
These bets are usually offered in an "Over/Under" format. You wager on whether a player's stat will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the number the sportsbook sets.
The most popular MLB prop bets fall into two categories: hitting and pitching.
For hitters, fans love to chase the thrill of the long ball, making home run props the most popular. You can bet on a player to hit zero, one, or even two or more home runs in a game.
Following closely behind are strikeout props for pitchers. Here, you bet on whether a pitcher will record more (Over) or less (Under) than a specific number of strikeouts during their outing.
Other popular hitting props include:
Here are some over tips if you are betting MLB props bets for today:
Home run props are some of the most exciting bets in baseball, offering the chance for big wins. Here are some tips to sharpen your home run prop betting strategy:
Obviously the answer is BetQL! Our team of experts spends hours every day researching MLB props and highlighting the best bets across the board. We also offer live MLB betting tips and advice to help you make informed decisions.
Here are some of the things that make BetQL a good choice for MLB prop betting:
Here are some additional tips for finding the best MLB props:
The best sportsbook to bet MLB player props depends on a few factors, including your personal preferences and the specific prop bets you're interested in.
Here is a brief overview of what each sportsbook has to offer:
Ultimately, the best way to choose a sportsbook for MLB prop betting is to compare the different options available and see which one best meets your needs. Consider factors such as the variety of prop bets offered, the odds, the bonuses and promotions, and the overall user experience.